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\/>\n2025\u5e7410\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956\u7684\u6842\u51a0\u88ab\u6388\u4e88\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u5317\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u4e54\u5c14\u00b7\u83ab\u57fa\u5c14\uff08Joel Mokyr\uff09\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u6cd5\u5170\u897f\u5b66\u9662\u6559\u6388\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u00b7\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\uff08Philippe Aghion\uff09\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5e03\u6717\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u8c6a\u4f0a\u7279\uff08Peter Howitt\uff09\u4e09\u4f4d\u6770\u51fa\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u4ee5\u8868\u5f70\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u89e3\u91ca\u201c\u521b\u65b0\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u201d\u65b9\u9762\u6240\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5956\u9879\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5bf9\u4e09\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u5b66\u672f\u63a2\u7d22\u7684\u80af\u5b9a\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6280\u672f\u8fc5\u731b\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\u5982\u4f55\u5851\u9020\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\u3002<br \/>\n\u89e3\u5f00\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6e90\u6cc9\u7684\u201c\u9ed1\u7bb1\u201d<br 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\/>\n\u83ab\u57fa\u5c14\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53f2\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6df1\u5165\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7b49\u91cd\u5927\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u8bba\u8bc1\u4e86\u201c\u77e5\u8bc6\u79ef\u7d2f\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u6587\u5316\u73af\u5883\u201d\u662f\u521b\u65b0\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u5173\u952e\u524d\u63d0\u3002\u4ed6\u6240\u8457\u7684\u300a\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6587\u5316\uff1a\u73b0\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d77\u6e90\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6587\u5316\u201d\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a18\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b27\u6d32\u6587\u5316\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66\u77e5\u8bc6\u5411\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8f6c\u5316\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u8be5\u4e66\u7cfb\u7edf\u8bba\u8bc1\u4e86\u77e5\u8bc6\u79ef\u7d2f\u3001\u5236\u5ea6\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u6587\u5316\u6f14\u8fdb\u5bf9\u73b0\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d77\u6e90\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u6587\u5316\u5728\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e2d\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6760\u6746\u3002\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u793e\u4f1a\u5f62\u6210\u9f13\u52b1\u8d28\u7591\u3001\u5d07\u5c1a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u601d\u60f3\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u201c\u542f\u8499\u6587\u5316\u201d\u65f6\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u624d\u80fd\u6446\u8131\u5076\u7136\u6027\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u63a8\u52a8\u957f\u671f\u7e41\u8363\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u529b\u91cf\u3002<br \/>\n\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5960\u57fa\u8005\uff1a\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u8c6a\u4f0a\u7279<br \/>\n1987\u5e74\uff0c\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u8c6a\u4f0a\u7279\u5171\u540c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u718a\u5f7c\u7279\u5f0f\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u201d\uff08Schumpeterian Growth Model\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u300aA Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction\u300b\u9996\u6b21\u5c06\u201c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u201d\uff08Creative Destruction\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u6838\u5fc3\u6982\u5ff5\u6570\u5b66\u5316\u5e76\u7eb3\u5165\u4e3b\u6d41\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u5408\u8457\u8005\u5728\u300a\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5267\u53d8\u4e0e\u56fd\u6c11\u8d22\u5bcc\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u5373\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u548c\u65b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u4f1a\u6253\u7834\u65e7\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5176\u6838\u5fc3\u89c2\u70b9\u6982\u62ec\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u662f\u5229\u6da6\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e3a\u83b7\u53d6\u201c\u521b\u65b0\u79df\u91d1\u201d\uff0c\u6709\u52a8\u529b\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u53d1\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u6e90\u4e8e\u201c\u7834\u574f\u201d\uff0c\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u4f1a\u53d6\u4ee3\u65e7\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u65b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u4f1a\u6dd8\u6c70\u8001\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u5fc5\u7136\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u6839\u672c\u6027\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u8005\uff0c\u660e\u5929\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u963b\u788d\u672a\u6765\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5229\u7528\u73b0\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff08\u5982\u4e13\u5229\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u5730\u4f4d\uff09\u963b\u6b62\u540e\u6765\u8005\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002<br \/>\n\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u8fde\u63a5\u8005\uff1a\u4e09\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u5171\u540c\u5f71\u54cd<br \/>\n\u8fd9\u4e09\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u5e94\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u542f\u793a\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u4e3b\u52a8\u7ba1\u7406\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5931\u4e1a\u7b49\u7834\u574f\u6027\u540e\u679c\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u53cd\u5784\u65ad\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u9632\u6b62\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u5934\u6291\u5236\u521b\u65b0\u751f\u6001\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u6c11\u95f4\u56e2\u4f53\u9700\u8981\u534f\u540c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u5c55\u7b26\u5408\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u7949\u3002\u518d\u6b21\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u548c\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u8981\u7d20\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\u548c\u5f00\u653e\u6587\u5316\u7b49\u652f\u6491\u957f\u671f\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u8f6f\u201d\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4ee5\u652f\u6491\u66f4\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<br \/>\n\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5e94\u7528<br \/>\n2025\u5e74\u7684\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u6070\u9022\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u4ece\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u8d70\u5411\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u5173\u952e\u8282\u70b9\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u4ee5ChatGpt\u3001DeepSeek\u7b49\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u751f\u6210\u5f0fAI\u5e94\u7528\u3001\u5927\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7b49\u524d\u6cbf\u6280\u672f\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u5851\u4ea7\u4e1a\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u800c\u4e09\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u8d21\u732e\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d8\u9769\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u672c\u8eab\u5e76\u4e0d\u81ea\u52a8\u5e26\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666e\u904d\u7e41\u8363\u3002\u552f\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3001\u5065\u5168\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u673a\u5236\u548c\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u624d\u80fd\u5f15\u5bfc\u201c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u201d\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u670d\u52a1\u4e8e\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u7949\u3002<br \/>\n\uff08\u4e00\uff09AI\u662f\u201c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u201d\u7684\u5178\u578b\u8303\u4f8b<br \/>\nAI\u6280\u672f\u6b63\u5728\u5feb\u901f\u66ff\u4ee3\u5927\u91cf\u4f20\u7edf\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ece\u5ba2\u670d\u3001\u6587\u6848\u64b0\u5199\u5230\u57fa\u7840\u7f16\u7a0b\u3001\u56fe\u50cf\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u65e0\u4e0d\u53d7\u5230\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u201c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u201d\u7684\u751f\u52a8\u4f53\u73b0\u2014\u2014\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5931\u4e1a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u4e3b\u52a8\u7ba1\u7406\u8fd9\u4e00\u7834\u574f\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u88ab\u52a8\u627f\u53d7\u5176\u9635\u75db\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<br \/>\n\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u9632\u6b62\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u5934\u5784\u65ad\u521b\u65b0<br 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Howitt\uff09\u4e09\u4f4d\u6770\u51fa\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u4ee5\u8868\u5f70\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u89e3\u91ca\u201c\u521b\u65b0\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u201d\u65b9\u9762\u6240\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5956\u9879\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5bf9\u4e09\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u5b66\u672f\u63a2\u7d22\u7684\u80af\u5b9a\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6280\u672f\u8fc5\u731b\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\u5982\u4f55\u5851\u9020\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\u3002 \u89e3\u5f00\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6e90\u6cc9\u7684\u201c\u9ed1\u7bb1\u201d 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\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5960\u57fa\u8005\uff1a\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u8c6a\u4f0a\u7279 1987\u5e74\uff0c\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u8c6a\u4f0a\u7279\u5171\u540c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u718a\u5f7c\u7279\u5f0f\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u201d\uff08Schumpeterian Growth Model\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u300aA Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction\u300b\u9996\u6b21\u5c06\u201c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u201d\uff08Creative Destruction\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u6838\u5fc3\u6982\u5ff5\u6570\u5b66\u5316\u5e76\u7eb3\u5165\u4e3b\u6d41\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u963f\u5409\u7fc1\u4e0e\u5408\u8457\u8005\u5728\u300a\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5267\u53d8\u4e0e\u56fd\u6c11\u8d22\u5bcc\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7834\u574f\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u5373\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u548c\u65b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u4f1a\u6253\u7834\u65e7\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5176\u6838\u5fc3\u89c2\u70b9\u6982\u62ec\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u662f\u5229\u6da6\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e3a\u83b7\u53d6\u201c\u521b\u65b0\u79df\u91d1\u201d\uff0c\u6709\u52a8\u529b\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u53d1\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u6e90\u4e8e\u201c\u7834\u574f\u201d\uff0c\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u4f1a\u53d6\u4ee3\u65e7\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u65b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u4f1a\u6dd8\u6c70\u8001\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u5fc5\u7136\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u6839\u672c\u6027\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u8005\uff0c\u660e\u5929\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u963b\u788d\u672a\u6765\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5229\u7528\u73b0\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff08\u5982\u4e13\u5229\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u5730\u4f4d\uff09\u963b\u6b62\u540e\u6765\u8005\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002 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